Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 106.509626 122.957388 142.558514 168.073176 201.085613 243.376947 303.467999
2024-10-13 80.990870 99.463698 123.779440 159.454578 213.054917 295.748659 446.117010
2024-10-20 70.758216 90.541797 118.419164 163.060893 238.572884 375.799163 697.182993
2024-10-27 62.308584 81.927596 110.877331 160.202576 251.434649 441.168403 1007.109271
2024-11-03 58.929336 79.773212 112.116763 171.247850 293.039723 595.677668 1921.328261
2024-11-10 58.491050 81.796368 120.095262 196.271180 376.441892 957.075206 6562.418621
2024-11-17 54.189981 77.035384 115.701787 196.151260 402.023018 1186.776020 18380.493341
2024-11-24 50.301096 72.444690 110.820702 193.679997 420.558022 1434.092515 96662.953504
2024-12-01 46.753070 68.027857 105.596620 189.181996 431.416589 1683.150086 NaN
2024-12-08 44.152703 64.957913 102.455081 188.700836 455.489600 2112.967329 NaN
2024-12-15 42.001684 62.452803 100.048128 189.408043 484.987761 2756.380145 NaN
2024-12-22 39.520548 59.146730 95.668126 184.280369 490.372447 3231.852856 NaN
2024-12-29 38.303859 58.255693 96.531370 194.411034 574.088554 6143.323204 NaN
2025-01-05 35.376026 54.031987 90.113213 183.708348 558.919182 7084.803005 NaN
2025-01-12 33.989632 52.524070 89.183386 188.171769 625.019680 14758.056022 NaN
2025-01-19 32.163900 50.025700 85.800337 184.633333 646.492078 25527.174785 NaN
2025-01-26 31.679776 50.023963 87.867178 198.344563 796.160297 728902.385287 NaN
2025-02-02 32.133498 51.876348 94.435432 229.776668 1175.580933 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 30.826842 50.094659 92.181696 229.624842 1278.397109 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 29.496122 48.163584 89.338124 226.498597 1347.697316 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 28.161829 46.135653 86.044462 220.820852 1377.992799 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 27.156782 44.721158 84.136163 220.214444 1488.746527 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 26.290081 43.535510 82.678119 221.105803 1639.351077 NaN NaN